arXiv AI

arXiv:2610.28229v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) minimizes empirical risk over observed preference comparisons, implicitly assuming that the training preference distribution matches the deployment preference distribution. In practice, this i.i.d. assumption often fails, as preference distribution shift exhibits a natural hierarchical structure across three levels: group-level shift, prompt-level shift, and preference-level shift. Such multi-level distributional mismatch poses a critical challenge for safe LLM deployment, yet existing robust DPO methods typically either model uncertainty over the joint preference distribution or focus on individual sources of shift, leaving the hierarchical structure of OOD preference shifts underexplored. We propose TPO, a tri-level distributionally robust framework for OOD preference alignment, which jointly models all three levels of distributional uncertainty through a hierarchically structured rectangular ambiguity set. By instantiating it with Wasserstein distance, we derive a tractable and interpretable objective that combines a closed-form preference-level margin penalty, prompt-level adversarial embedding perturbation, and worst-case group reweighting, each governed by an independent radius. We establish finite-sample convergence guarantees and empirically validate the effectiveness of TPO over existing robust DPO methods.

arXiv:2610.28223v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models can solve complex problems across a variety of subjects, such as mathematics and coding. For such complex analytical tasks, models with a long context perform better. Serving models with long context is currently mostly done on powerful systems with multiple GPUs, which are too expensive for most users. An alternative is local inference, or serving a model on a user's own machine, which removes per-token costs and rate limits, besides keeping sensitive data private and giving users full control over the models they run. The common understanding, however, is that local LLMs need compression (e.g., quantization) to run on a single GPU. In this paper, we set out to study the limitations that prevent serving long-context models for single users, besides the capacity issue. Rather than characterizing a single model on one GPU, we analyze how different models behave across several GPU generations. This lets us uncover not just individual bottlenecks but broader trends in where inefficiencies arise. Our analysis confirms that, as expected, self-attention dominates the runtime for long-context inference. More unexpectedly, our evaluation reveals that the current structure of self-attention leaves key GPU resources significantly underutilized, and the newest GPU is often the least well served. Many of these findings are fundamentally data management problems, from paging the KV cache to improving cache utilization and synchronization in the GPU, which is why we bring this study to the Data Systems community. To engage this community, we present our findings as a series of experimental observations and formulate recommendations for future work.

arXiv:2610.28211v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Applying South Africa's draft R3337 warning criteria to food-package photographs requires nutrition, ingredient and product-form evidence. This study presents a region-guided evidence extraction and abstention-aware screening workflow for draft R3337. A three-class detector localises nutrition information panels, ingredient lists and product-identity regions, after which PaddleOCR and structured extraction recover nutrient values, ingredient evidence and product-form information. Recovered evidence is aggregated and assessed using deterministic draft R3337 rules. When evidence is incomplete, uncertain or conflicting, the workflow abstains through Review or Insufficient evidence rather than forcing an automatic outcome. For qualifying unresolved cases, a selective vision-language model (VLM) review stage using Qwen3-VL 8B Instruct reassesses unresolved evidence. Accepted evidence is merged and the same deterministic rules are reapplied. The workflow was applied to 442 products represented by 3,929 images. Evaluation used a manual validation set of 65 products. Before selective VLM review, 31 of 60 decidable products received automatic outcomes and 30 were correct, giving 51.7% coverage and 96.8% accuracy among automatic outcomes (selective accuracy). Selective VLM review resolved eight additional products, increasing coverage to 65.0%. Of 39 automatic outcomes, 38 were correct, giving 97.4% selective accuracy. The single false warning was retained from the rules-only workflow, while no unsafe warning omissions occurred after selective review. Evidence-level evaluation nevertheless identified incorrect VLM-recovered nutrition, ingredient and product-form evidence. These findings show that selective VLM review can recover unresolved evidence, while deterministic screening and explicit abstention remain necessary for reliable image-based draft R3337 screening.

arXiv:2610.28203v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce JAXbounce, a continuous control pong-like benchmark designed to evaluate active inference beyond discrete, low dimensional environments. JAXbounce combines continuous states and stochastic dynamics in discrete time with flexible and composable observation models that allow representing the environment as a state vector or a pixel grid, corruptible through the rich family of noise models we provide. It is fully differentiable and parallelisable in JAX. We run over 10,000 agent simulations on our environment comparing a baseline deterministic solution, to a state-based active inference agent with Unscented Kalman Filter perception and expected free energy planning, and a pixel based agent whose measurement model is a pretrained neural network encoder. All agents are evaluated across three scenarios of increasing difficulty with eight different noise conditions. Our experiments characterise how performance of continuous state agents scales with planning, planning horizons, observation modalities and knowledge of the noise process, exhibiting preference-oriented behaviour even in the presence of increasing uncertainty. We release JAXbounce as a reproducible benchmark for continuous control active inference research.

arXiv:2610.28200v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate electrical load forecasting supports power-system operation across countries, regions, cities, and buildings, but repeated development of target-specific models is costly. Time series foundation models (TSFMs) provide reusable pretrained backbones, although multi-domain pretraining may not fully capture load-specific characteristics. This paper compares pretrained inference, full fine-tuning, and low-rank adaptation (LoRA) in terms of forecasting accuracy and adaptation efficiency across four electrical load aggregation levels. MOIRAI 1.0 Large serves as the primary backbone, while Chronos-2 assesses whether the findings transfer across model families. The evaluation covers both in-distribution (ID) and out-of-distribution (OOD) settings and examines whether compact adaptation provides consistent gains over strong pretrained checkpoints. Pretrained foundation models outperform the implemented seasonal naive and XGBoost baselines across the evaluated aggregation levels. On MOIRAI Large, rank-16 LoRA reduces normalized mean absolute error (NMAE) by 7.5% on average while updating 3.146 million parameters, about 1% of the model, and retains most of the improvement from full fine-tuning. Chronos-2 achieves lower pretrained NMAE than MOIRAI but benefits less from adaptation. OOD results show that adaptation benefits vary by target, with the clearest gains for the local-area series and several buildings. Overall, LoRA provides a favorable accuracy-efficiency trade-off when adaptation yields a meaningful gain over a strong pretrained checkpoint.

arXiv:2610.28197v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Object-centric reinforcement learning agents typically receive each object's position in a fixed global frame, even though their decisions usually depend on where objects are relative to one another. These absolute views often fail to capture the local context that is most relevant to the agent's behavior. As a result, an agent must relearn the same response at every location where a configuration can occur, and its performance collapses when the scene is merely shifted. In this work, we propose a shift toward Object-Relative Coordinates fixed to Anchor (ORCA), where entities are described in a relative frame of reference. To operationalize this idea, we introduce Object-Relative inductive-Bias Transformers (ORBiT), a transformer-based architecture for processing anchor-relative inputs in reinforcement learning. Our results suggest these relative representations improve performance for both MLP and transformer agents. Furthermore, we demonstrate that ORBiT outperforms the pixel-based PPO baseline, achieving an aggregate HNS IQM greater than 1.0 over 13 Atari games. ORBiT learns the game of Foosball from scratch, dominating all baselines. In our controlled Tag environment, we further show that ORCA extends to rotations, that ORBiT generalizes to unseen numbers of distractors, and that these gains require a decision-relevant anchor.

arXiv:2610.28194v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: On-policy distillation (OPD) supervises student-generated responses using sampled-token student-teacher log-ratios. A positive log-ratio penalizes a token that the student assigns higher probability to than the teacher, but its current value does not distinguish sustained high penalties from abrupt increases along a response. We examine these local changes by comparing consecutive blocks of tokens within the same response. Our diagnostic identifies penalty jumps, abrupt increases in average penalty that persist on held-out tokens. Across these jumps, penalties rise while teacher confidence decreases. We call this pattern penalty-confidence tension. Boundaries into high-penalty blocks do not exhibit comparable confidence changes, showing that local changes provide information beyond the current penalty value. Motivated by this observation, we propose Adaptive Pullback OPD (AP-OPD). At each detected jump, AP-OPD uses the preceding block as a local reference and uniformly scales all supervision coefficients in the following block so that its weighted average penalty matches the preceding block's original mean. This reference determines the scaling factor without an additional strength constant. AP-OPD improves performance on both mathematical reasoning and code generation.

arXiv:2610.28192v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Token merging is an effective approach to reducing KV-cache memory consumption in autoregressive video generation by clustering temporally redundant tokens and retaining only a small set of representatives. Existing methods, however, typically apply a uniform merging ratio across all attention layers and heads. We observe that different layers and heads exhibit substantially different yet jointly correlated sensitivities to token merging, and that these sensitivity patterns remain consistent across prompts. Based on this observation, we introduce CALM, a Calibrated Allocation for Layer-Head Merging that uses offline calibration to improve online cache compression. Exhaustively evaluating all possible layer-head allocations is prohibitively expensive. To enable efficient calibration, we show that attention-output error strongly correlates with end-to-end video quality and can therefore serve as a lightweight proxy for allocation risk assessment. We evaluate different allocation strategies using this proxy and construct a fixed layer-head risk map offline. Given a cache budget at inference time, CALM uses dynamic programming to determine the best allocation of merging ratios. Experiments across three different autoregressive video models demonstrate that CALM consistently outperforms uniform token merging under the same memory budget, by reducing the LPIPS to original videos by around 21% with higher video-quality scores.

arXiv:2610.28184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reasoning-augmented vision-language-action (VLA) driving models can perceive and reason about safety-critical hazards yet fail to translate that evidence into safe actions. We characterize this failure as a perception-action binding gap: hazard information is available inside the model but exerts insufficient control over trajectory generation. Using matched simulated counterfactuals and logged driving replay, we show that in-path hazards are actually encoded in the visual representation, but longitudinal plans are dominated by ego-speed history and respond only weakly to hazard proximity or the model's own reasoning trace. Further analysis shows that the trajectory generator is capable of braking but sometimes fails to do so due to the perception-action binding gap. Without retraining or modifying any weights, we inject a hazard-conditioned energy into the frozen flow-matching sampler of Alpamayo-1.5, restoring the missing coupling at generation time. With exact obstacle geometry, guidance cuts footprint intrusion from 58.1% to 14.5% and recovers safe braking whenever sufficient stopping distance remains, eliminating collisions entirely in our braking-relevant closed-loop battery. It also reverses the diagnosed dependence of the plan, from tracking ego speed to responding to obstacle range. These results separate hazard perception from hazard control in driving VLAs, show that unsafe behavior can arise even when the model has both the evidence and the ability to act on it, and propose a simple fix for bridging this binding gap.

arXiv:2610.28176v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) often struggle with temporally grounded reasoning because their static parametric memory is misaligned with the dynamic evolution of real-world knowledge. Although RAG and Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (PEFT) provide practical ways to enhance LLMs, they remain insufficient for temporal reasoning. Existing retrieval methods typically prioritize semantic relevance while overlooking temporal validity, event order, and evolutionary dependencies, resulting in evidence that is relevant in isolation but temporally fragmented. Meanwhile, conventional PEFT methods usually employ fixed and input-agnostic low-rank updates, making it difficult to capture time-dependent entity semantics and relation drift. To address these limitations, we propose Temporal Evidence-Parameter Co-Alignment (TEPCA), a framework for LLM reasoning over TKGs. TEPCA aligns LLM reasoning with temporal knowledge at both the evidence and parameter levels. At the evidence level, it introduces time-constrained Dynamic Relevance-Guided Path (DRGP) pruning to preserve globally coherent temporal paths, together with Mutual-Information (MI)-based pruning to retain query-informative local facts under temporal constraints. At the parameter level, it integrates Dynamic-Gated LoRA (DG-LoRA), a timestamp-conditioned low-rank adaptation mechanism that dynamically modulates the effective adaptation subspace according to temporal context. This design enables LLMs to better capture fine-grained entity evolution and time-dependent relation semantics while preserving parameter efficiency. Experimental results on two TKG benchmarks demonstrate that TEPCA achieves state-of-the-art performance. Additional evaluations of DG-LoRA on eight commonsense QA datasets further verify its general input-adaptive capacity, scalability across LLM backbones, and interpretability.

arXiv:2610.28173v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) depend fundamentally on the diversity, depth, and factual rigor of their pre-training corpora. However, contemporary foundational pre-training datasets (such as The Pile, S2ORC, and Dolma) exhibit a severe structural omission: African scientific, medical, legal, and agricultural scholarship constitutes less than 0.5% of global pre-training tokens. Consequently, state-of-the-art models suffer from systematic failure modes when reasoning about tropical epidemiology, localized smallholder agro-ecologies, regional economic governance, and indigenous linguistic structures. To resolve this representation deficit and advance African intellectual sovereignty in artificial intelligence, we introduce Africa-Papers, the largest curated multi-domain Pan-African academic pre-training corpus to date. Comprising over 844,807 full-text papers spanning 10.15 billion tokens across 879 Parquet shards, Africa-Papers unifies four primary scientific streams: (1) continental peer-reviewed journals indexed in DOAJ across 31 African nations, (2) the CGIAR CGSpace agricultural repository, (3) African-authored and African-focused STEM/AI preprints on arXiv, and (4) open-access international publications by scholars affiliated with African institutions indexed via OpenAlex. The entire corpus is processed into layout-aware, clean Markdown preserving section hierarchies, mathematical equations, and tabular data, accompanied by exact BPE token counts and a standardized 8-domain taxonomy. We release Africa-Papers openly on the Hugging Face Hub under the AfriSpeech organization to accelerate continual pre-training and domain evaluation for foundation models globally.

arXiv:2610.28160v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Programmable Logic Controller (PLC) coding remains a manual, IDE-centric task that demands constant context switching between documentation, project files, and code editors. Recent work has demonstrated that retrieval-augmented large language models can generate vendor-compliant Structured Text at high compilation rates \cite{pred}, yet these systems treat code generation as a one-shot pipeline: the engineer submits a query and receives code, with no persistent knowledge of the specific plant. We present a plant-aware conversational copilot that extends this paradigm in three directions: plant-specific context ingestion, a chat-first interaction model for explanation and debugging, and a graduated tool-access ladder from chat to deployment. The system is designed for real plant infrastructure and keeps the engineer in control of each step that produces real-world effects.

arXiv:2610.28134v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery with latent confounding is particularly challenging, but a common setting in real-world data. In this work, we focus on linear causal models with latent confounding, represented by acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs). Existing methods that fully identify ADMGs typically assume non-Gaussianity or graphical constraints, such as bow-freeness. In contrast, we propose Linear ADMG Learning (LinADMG), a framework for learning ADMGs for linear causal models through identifiable representation learning. Rather than relying on non-Gaussianity or bow-freeness, LinADMG leverages multi-domain settings to identify the noise variables. We show that the identifiability of the noise variables is sufficient for recovering all direct causal relations, and that, under an additional latent-confounding no-cancellation condition, LinADMG can identify the whole ADMG. We implement LinADMG with four identifiable representation learning approaches from the literature and validate the methods on simulated and semisynthetic datasets.

arXiv:2610.28122v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Cascade world-action models (WAMs) use predicted visual futures to condition robot actions, but inherit costly iterative inference from diffusion-pretrained experts. We ask what a single-step predicted future must preserve to support accurate single-step action prediction. In the evaluated WAM, resampling video noise has little effect on downstream actions, yet naively truncating both streams to one step substantially reduces task success. Video-space supervision only partially closes this gap, and a local sensitivity analysis shows that vision prediction errors have highly unequal consequences for action accuracy. These findings motivate DirectWAM, which converts pretrained video and action experts into single-step predictors without stochastic sampling through action-sufficient distillation, while retaining the explicit future-to-action cascade. After learning a one-step action model, we train the future predictor by decoding actions from its own predicted futures and backpropagating demonstration action error through the expert, with an optional future-latent reconstruction loss. The resulting objective evaluates the student-generated future through its downstream control consequences rather than relying on representation matching alone. DirectWAM achieves 97.1% average success across four LIBERO suites and 85.4% on RoboTwin 2.0, outperforming Flash-WAM at the same one-evaluation-per-stream budget. This advantage has also extended to three real-world tasks that we designed. Compared with the full iterative teacher, it reduces inference latency by $28.0\times$.

arXiv:2610.28093v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: AI agents keep long-term memory, much of which comes from web pages and tool results. Agent harnesses, the software that runs the model, do not record who may act on this memory, so an instruction hidden in a fetched page can be treated as the user's own instruction. We propose ClawMMU, a protection layer that labels every piece of memory with its owner, scope, origins, and authority. ClawMMU checks these labels whenever content enters the model's context, is written to storage, returns from storage, or drives a tool call. Its central rule is that information may rise in authority, but authority never lifts itself. Because the checks depend on where content came from, not on what it says, memory attacks become classical protection faults that the harness stops even when the model is fooled.

arXiv:2610.28092v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Persuasive writing exploits cognitive biases, recruiting a reader's mental shortcuts to shape belief, often without the reader noticing. We call the linguistic features exploiting such mental shortcuts cognitive bias triggers. As large language models (LLMs) increasingly mediate how people encounter news, summarizing it, ranking it, and answering questions over it, a natural question is whether they can recognize the features of a text that bias a human reader. We introduce BAIT (Bias Annotation In Text), a resource for detecting cognitive bias triggers in news. BAIT pairs a schema of nine triggers, each specified in an annotator codebook, with 50 English news articles annotated by trained annotators at the article and span levels and adjudicated into a gold standard. On this data we define two tasks, detecting which triggers a text contains and locating the spans that carry them. We then benchmark six frontier LLMs zero-shot and with three or ten in-context examples. The models approach human agreement on which triggers an article contains, but rarely recover its full set of triggers, and they reach less than half of human agreement in locating the passages that carry them. Moreover, they over-predict triggers that come with easy surface cues, and most of the passages they mark for these triggers are not triggers, yet carry the trigger's surface cue far more often than random text. These findings suggest that the evaluated LLMs respond to surface cues rather than to the mechanisms that make a passage manipulative. We release the schema, the codebook, standoff annotations, and the evaluation pipeline.

arXiv:2610.28090v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Existing continuous-time graph learning methods rely heavily on complex neural architectures to encode ever-expanding interaction histories. However, the future conditional distribution induced by complex histories can often be characterized by a low-dimensional predictive state manifold, implying that only a few predictive degrees of freedom are essential for future interactions. We therefore argue that continuous-time graph learning should identify low-dimensional states sufficient for future prediction rather than reconstruct the full history. To make this perspective measurable, we define and independently estimate the intrinsic predictive dimension, which quantifies the effective predictive degrees of freedom required by a given task. Specifically, we remove the history-independent marginal from the history-conditioned future distribution, decompose the resulting predictive residual operator, and estimate the minimum effective rank needed to preserve the predictive power of the full history. Experiments across datasets show that model performance saturation is largely determined by the intrinsic predictive dimension. Based on this finding, we propose PreDyG, a lightweight model whose capacity is matched to the intrinsic predictive dimension. PreDyG achieves superior predictive performance with only 0.07\% of the parameters of a representative complex baseline.

arXiv:2610.28086v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-time video generation, interactive world models, and on-device image synthesis are almost a reality. Diffusion Transformers (DiT) achieve excellent sample quality, shifting the bottleneck to the throughput of the models themselves. Natural images are inherently sparse, as large portions of an image are often background, contribute little to the scene content, and are easy to denoise. DiTs fail to exploit this sparsity, as they process image tokens statically and uniformly. We propose MoDDiT, a simple architecture modification that learns to route tokens through both MLP and self-attention operations. By routing tokens through both blocks independently, MoDDiT allows for dynamic compute allocation in MLPs that varies across tokens, images, and denoising timesteps. Using MoDDiT to train image generation models from scratch significantly reduces computational costs of training and inference, processing as few as 12.5% of the tokens. By increasing sparsity and model depth, MoDDiT reduces costs and improves generation performance over unrouted baselines. The learned allocation is interpretable, revealing how computation varies with visual content and noise level. We also use MoDDiT to train video generation models, where allocation correlates with motion, and to distill a dense bidirectional video model into a sparse autoregressive student.

arXiv:2610.28081v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Wearable devices increasingly support personalized health and well-being applications, but post-deployment data can differ substantially from those used for training, while purely local adaptation may be limited by the data available on a single device during real-world operation. Conventional federated and decentralized learning rely on recurrent communication and stable connectivity, whereas existing opportunistic approaches often exploit available encounters without adequately considering their utility, compatibility, or communication cost. We propose PULSE, an event-driven framework for personalized opportunistic learning that treats each encounter as an online collaboration decision, selecting either no interaction or a promising nearby peer. Peer gradients are incorporated only when compatible with the local learning direction, while past interactions guide future peer selection. Across human activity recognition, fall detection, and stress recognition under synthetic and real contact traces, PULSE preserves or improves personalized classification performance, while reducing peer-assisted exchanges by 80-94% compared with opportunistic model averaging. On-device experiments further demonstrate its feasibility on wearable hardware: peer-assisted operations require limited energy, while the complete implementation occupies 149.8 KiB of RAM and 561.8 KiB of flash. The obtained results show that selective opportunistic collaboration can provide effective personalization while limiting communication and resource demands on constrained wearable devices.

arXiv:2610.28066v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multilingual evaluations often score a model's opening yes or no, a token that also carries model and language answering conventions. We ask when different ways of eliciting and reading an answer recover the same judgment, and when they measure an answer habit. We collect 1.1 million replies from eight models in six languages on up to 105 moral vignettes, varying the question's form, the answer constraint, and the reading of the reply, token or sentence, in both wordings (the FAR-6 battery). Story-level judgment profiles converge across the tested readouts and question forms, except for the yes/no token after a negative interrogative read under a preset mapping: on the same replies, token and sentence profiles agree at a median r = 0.67 across cells, while sentence profiles agree with free-sentence profiles at 0.94, a known linguistic variability. With each language's story consensus removed, a model's profile is nearest to its own in another language for 39 of 48 model-language cells under proposition labels and 15 under free sentences, against 5 expected by chance. Particle, position, and named-term preferences follow their own patterns. A model can keep its judgment and change its yes: scoring that token requires establishing which proposition it affirms.